Every single race in the Breeder's Cup is interesting; but if i'm being completely honest, this race is much more interesting than the rest- at-least from a betting perspective.
No horse has ever won a breeder's Cup race three consecutive times. If Goldikova crosses the finish line first today, she will have accomplished one of the most impressive feats in horse racing. This great thing, or sad thing depending on how you look at it, is that Goldikova could very well go down in flames.
The daughter of Anabaa comes in to this race in impressive form, having won four of her five starts this year. The problem is that she is facing all of the same horses she defeats over in Europe in addition to our best milers.
The American contingent is led by the big three: Sidney's Candy, The Usual Q.T. and Gio Ponti.
Now here is where it gets interesting.
The big three will all be attacking Goldikova at different parts of the race. Sidney's Candy will most likely set the pace, The Usual Q.T. will stalk a couple of lengths back and Gio Ponti will hang back close to last. This doesn't mean that it's impossible for Goldikova to win- not at all. What this does mean is that Goldikova's jockey, Olivier Peslier, cannot focus on keeping Sidney's Candy honest because that sets the race up for the othe rtwo American horses. In fact, he cannot hone in on any of them because it sets the race up for the other two. Throw in the fact that Goldikova is breaking from the far outside and things get even more complicated. If I'm Peslier, I go straight to last, mount a furious bid at the quarter-pole and pray that it all works out.If that's the strategy he goes with, Goldikova and a well rested Sidney's Candy could put on one of the most legendary stretch duels we've ever seen.
Goldikova will hit the board, but she may not be in the winner's circle. This is a great race to bridge-jump on Goldi and play Sidney's Candy, Gio Ponti and The Usual Q.T. to win. Proviso has an outside chance to round out the trifecta.
Live Longshot: Court Vision
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