Wednesday, November 3, 2010

BC Juvenile Preview

This race reminds me of the 2005 Juvenile in which the bettors tricked themselves into thinking they were handicapping a two-horse race. Although Uncle Mo and Boys at Toscanova are both excellent horses, Jaycito has been quite impressive so far, and shows no sign of distance limitations.

With several horses vying for the lead, Jaycito's stalking style could benefit him greatly here. It's always tough to tell what to do with a horses form at Keenland, but still J.B.'s Thunder impressed me greatly with his runaway performance in the Breeder's Futurity at Keenland.

I think Jaycito is the class of this race. If the race were 9 furlongs, Jaycito would be a lock. At 8 and a half Jaycito is probably still the best. I think J.B.'s Thunder will set tough fractions and wilt at the eighth pole, but that should still leave him in a dogfight with Boys at Toscanova for second- you're guess is as good as mine concerning who comes away with that one. I think Uncle Mo is pure speed and will be exposed like many Juvenile contenders before him.

Live Longshot: Biondetti

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